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2026 Week 3 · Sep 27, 2026 · Easy

Texans at Colts final drive: call the plays

IND16
1:484th
17HOU
1st & 10Ball on own 35
INDHOU101020203030404050504040303020201010

A field goal wins it

You’re the play-caller. Tap a play to snap it.

Pick your first play

Run

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The situation

Indianapolis Colts down 1 (16–17), 1:48 left in the fourth quarter, 1st & 10 on the own 35. You are the play-caller for this Texans at Colts final drive.

Score
Colts 16, Texans 17
Clock
1:48, Q4
Ball
1st & 10, own 35
Timeouts
2 left (defense 3)
Difficulty
Easy
Typical win rate
45%

The difficulty comes from how often a typical NFL play-caller wins from this spot in our simulation. The real head coach was Shane Steichen; the defense was coached by DeMeco Ryans.

What really happened on this drive

Play the drive first: the real calls are below.

Show the real play-by-play (6 plays)

The Colts kicked a field goal. Final score: Colts 19, Texans 17, a win for Colts.

  1. 1st & 10 at the own 35, 1:48 · Short middle (close)
    17-D.Jones pass incomplete short middle to 10-K.Allen.
  2. 2nd & 10 at the own 35, 1:43 · Deep middle (best call)
    17-D.Jones pass deep middle to 13-L.Treadwell to HOU 45 for 20 yards (2-C.Bullock).
  3. 1st & 10 at the opp 45, 1:11 · Inside run (best call)
    28-J.Taylor left guard to HOU 40 for 5 yards (0-A.Al-Shaair; 3-K.Lassiter).
  4. 2nd & 5 at the opp 40, 0:29 · Outside run (best call)
    28-J.Taylor left end to HOU 41 for -1 yards (51-W.Anderson).
  5. 3rd & 6 at the opp 41, 0:24 · Quick out (best call)
    17-D.Jones pass short left to 10-K.Allen to HOU 35 for 6 yards (3-K.Lassiter). The Replay Official reviewed the first down ruling, and the play was REVERSED. (Shotgun) 17-D.Jones pass short left to 10-K.A
  6. 4th & 1 at the opp 36, 0:21 · Field goal (big mistake)
    3-S.Shrader 53 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-L.Rhodes, Holder-8-R.Sanchez.

By our grades, Shane Steichen made the best or a near-best call (green) on 4 of 6 graded snaps and gave up 2.2 win-probability points per call on average. Plays with penalties are not graded.

How this final drive is graded

Every call you make is compared with every other call available on that snap. We play out the rest of the drive hundreds of times from your exact down, distance, field position, clock and timeouts, with results drawn from real NFL plays and a typical NFL play-caller making the later calls. The difference in win probability between your call and the best call is your grade for that snap. The final drive result, touchdown or not, does not change the grades. Read the full method.

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