2026 Week 4 · Oct 4, 2026 · Hard
Cowboys at Texans final drive: call the plays
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The situation
Houston Texans down 4 (30–34), 0:37 left in the fourth quarter, 1st & 10 on the own 28. You are the play-caller for this Cowboys at Texans final drive.
- Score
- Texans 30, Cowboys 34
- Clock
- 0:37, Q4
- Ball
- 1st & 10, own 28
- Timeouts
- 0 left (defense 2)
- Difficulty
- Hard
- Typical win rate
- 4%
The difficulty comes from how often a typical NFL play-caller wins from this spot in our simulation. The real head coach was DeMeco Ryans; the defense was coached by Brian Schottenheimer.
What really happened on this drive
Play the drive first: the real calls are below.
Show the real play-by-play (4 plays)
The Texans ran out of time. Final score: Texans 30, Cowboys 34, a loss for Texans.
- 1st & 10 at the own 28, 0:37 · Quick out (close)
7-C.Stroud pass short right to 12-N.Collins pushed ob at HOU 36 for 8 yards (23-A.Speed). - 2nd & 2 at the own 36, 0:31 · Short middle (close)
7-C.Stroud pass short middle to 13-J.Noel to HOU 47 for 11 yards (24-M.Hooker). - 1st & 10 at the own 47, 0:17 · Spike
7-C.Stroud spiked the ball to stop the clock. - 2nd & 5 at the opp 48, 0:09 · Deep sideline (best call)
7-C.Stroud pass incomplete deep right (24-M.Hooker).
By our grades, DeMeco Ryans made the best or a near-best call (green) on 1 of 3 graded snaps and gave up 1.8 win-probability points per call on average. Plays with penalties are not graded.
How this final drive is graded
Every call you make is compared with every other call available on that snap. We play out the rest of the drive hundreds of times from your exact down, distance, field position, clock and timeouts, with results drawn from real NFL plays and a typical NFL play-caller making the later calls. The difference in win probability between your call and the best call is your grade for that snap. The final drive result, touchdown or not, does not change the grades. Read the full method.
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